Spain vs Germany Preview
The first quarterfinal match of Euro 2024 is Spain vs Germany. While there are plenty of big fixtures to go, the host nation versus the current favourite of the tournament could be the most exciting clash of the competition. Spain has looked relentless in attack since the opening group game and won’t hold back against the Germans.
Germany made hard work of the round of 16 clash against Denmark. The score could have been 4-0 to the host nation as well as 2-0 the other way had VAR not intervened. However, they got a comfortable result in the end and will enter this clash with confidence. Spain started poorly against Georgia, but did not take long for the flair players to shine. They outclassed the Georgians with lethal finishing. You do not want to miss this quarterfinal game on July 5th at 5:00 pm, in Stuttgart.
Spain vs Germany Predictions
Prediction Spain 2-1 Germany
This fixture has all the makings of a classic, and our Euro 2024 prediction is for the hosts to crash out of the competition. Germany will score first as they seek to start fast and get the home fans on their side. Spain will not panic and will find an equaliser not long after. Germany will defend well but ultimately fall short with a late Spanish goal sealing their fate.
Germany looked vulnerable against the Danes, but their class and persistence shone through. Havertz is the guilty party in that regard, as he missed two clear goal-scoring chances. However, the team never gave up, and against Spain, they will get their chances. The only question remains, will they be able to take them?
Spain was too open against Georgia in the first half an hour, but they dominated in the second half. A change in tactics allowed Spain to press high up the pitch, force turnovers, and stop any chances of swift counterattacks. Goals came raining in for several players, which is a big concern for Germany. Not only do the Spanish players make chances at will, but they have the quality to share the load across the team.
Our prediction sees the Germans capitalising on a slow start, but this Spanish team looks phenomenal. They are cool under pressure and do not waver from the aggressive tactics. It’s one thing to press, but it’s another when you have the players that can punish even slight mistakes. This could be a battle of the wingers as Nico Williams and Lamine Yamal take on Jamal Musiala and Leroy Sane. Our money is on Lamal to make a difference in this game.
Betting on Spain to win should have good returns this week, but there are plenty of other options. We expect Lamal to assist or score again and Williams has more than enough skill to make a shooting chance of his own. Musiala looks like another future superstar, and betting on him to score could be a smart move. From open play, he is the most likely German player to score, besides super-sub Niclas Füllkrug.
We predict a tight game, as Spain enjoyed the easier game in the last round. No discredit to Georgia. They played on the front foot and could score a goal from nowhere. But defensively, the Germans are much harder to break down. At this end of the tournament, you want seasoned and experienced players, and that is exactly what the hosts have. With home crowd support, they could do enough to keep the Spanish at bay. After all, they struggled against Albania and Italy in the group stage.
Spain vs Germany Betting Tips
This is the biggest game of the tournament so far, and the odds reflect this at our online betting site. Spain is the marginal favourite to win this match with odds worth 7/4. It is highly unusual in tournament soccer for the favourite to return more than your stake. However, there is incredibly little to split the two teams. Betting on Germany to progress is worth 19/10, just short of yielding two times the value of your bet.
At this stage, it’s important to consider extra time or penalties. In the round of 16, extra time rescued a poor England side. However, in a match as important as this one, penalties would separate the sides if they were level after 90 minutes. Either team to win by a penalty shootout is worth 9/1. Betting on the Euros has been exciting so far, so why would this game be any different?
Looking at other soccer markets reveals dozens of options. Our correct score prediction is 2-1, but you can make this wager in multiple different ways. You can bet on 2-1 to Spain at any time during the match at 4/1, or you can get a multiple correct score for 2/1. The multiple correct score market has four scorelines included, increasing your chances of landing a winner.
Betting on the Over/under in this match is another possibility. We predict there will be over 2.5 goals scored in this fixture. That wager is worth 1/1 at Novibet, which means if you bet €20, you will receive €20 in profit. Choosing the under is also a smart move given the importance of the game. With odds of 4/5, you stand to make €16 in profit from the same stake.
If you have followed both teams throughout the competition, it’s hard to pick a side. Betting on Spain is the most likely outcome, given their emphatic performance against Georgia. However, Germany represents a much larger threat. They are a better team with different tactics and will utilise the home crowd. That will go a long way in this game and could end up being the difference if the game goes to penalties. Betting on the Germans to qualify by any means is worth 10/11, and the same wager is worth 17/20 for Spain.
As this is a vital game, waiting until kick-off is not a bad idea for placing a wager. Live betting has been lucrative this tournament if you time your bets. Several teams in the round of 16 stage have made successful comebacks, and we back Spain to do it again this week. Sign up at Novibet and claim a welcome bonus to use on this fixture.
Spain vs Germany Key Stats and Head-To-Head
Blockbuster matches are inevitable at this stage of the tournament. However, this fixture is certainly an eye-catcher. Arguably, these two teams have played the best football at the Euros this year. Spain was on a two-game winning streak before the competition and has won all four matches at Euro 2024. Germany entered the Euros on a four-match unbeaten run and that is also intact after winning three matches and drawing one in the group stage.
The head-to-head results between the countries have been tight over recent years, except for one blip at the Nations League in 2020. Spain humiliated Germany 6-0 with a Ferran Torres hat trick. Both teams have changed drastically since then, including the managers and most of the personnel. While a recent thumping is never a good sign, it is unlikely to have any bearing given the importance of this match.
Instead, the most likely event is a repeat of the 2022 fixture in the Qatar World Cup. The sides met in round two of Group E and Germany rescued a point with a late winner from Füllkrug. The first half was remarkably flat with only one real chance for Spain. Manuel Neuer clumsily palmed onto the underside of the crossbar a powerful strike by Dani Olmo. Spain took the lead on the hour mark with a delightful finish from Alvaro Morata at the near post. Jordi Alba supplied the cross and Morata flicked the ball over Neuer into the top left corner.
Musiala missed a golden chance to equalise ten minutes later after he was one-on-one with Unai Simón. The Spanish goalie stood tall and kept his side ahead. Eight minutes before time, a lovely interchange between Sané and Musiala is pounced on by the number nine. Füllkrug leathers the ball into the far corner and saves his side from embarrassment.
The stakes are raised for this quarterfinal as the hosts will want to go all the way. Whoever triumphs in this fixture will surely be the perfect choice for anyone betting on the Euro 2024 winner. There is still a long way to go before the final on July 14th, but both teams will already have an eye on the trophy. After this round, at least one favourite will enjoy an early holiday.
REPORT: Spain recovered with a clinical second-half performance to beat a fearless Georgia team 📰⬇️#EURO2024
— UEFA EURO 2024 (@EURO2024) June 30, 2024
Spain Team News and Lineup
Given their performance in the round of 16, Luis De La Fuente won’t want to make any changes. His team reacted incredibly positively when Dani Olmo replaced Pedri in the 52nd minute, but to take out an impact sub could be a mistake. We predict Olmo will remain on the bench even though he helps this Spanish side tick. With players like Ruiz and Rodri in the squad, anyone could play in the centre of the pitch alongside them.
- Predicted Lineup: U. Simón, M. Cucurella, A. Laporte, R. Le Normand, D. Carvajal, F. Ruiz, Rodri, Pedri, N. Williams, A. Morata, and L. Yamal.
Germany Team News and Lineup
Julian Nagelsmann made three changes for the round of 16. Jonathan Tah had to make way because of an accumulation of yellow cards, but the other changes were tactical. Nico Schlotterback filled in admirably and could have been on the scoresheet. Instead, he got an assist for Musiala’s goal and deserves to retain his position alongside Rüdiger. David Raum added more to the team in left-back than Mittelstädt. However, Sane did not look at home on the right wing and could invite Florian Wirtz to test the spaces behind Lamal or Williams.
- Predicted Lineup: M. Neuer, D. Raum, N. Schlotterbeck, A. Rüdiger, J. Kimmich, T. Kroos, R. Andrich, J. Musiala, İ. Gündoğan, F. Wirtz. and K. Havertz.
