Christian Mbilli vs Sergiy Derevyanchenko Preview
One of boxing’s brightest young prospects will get his sternest test this weekend. Christian Mbilli will face Sergiy Derevyanchenko at the Videotron Centre in Quebec City, Canada. This is a clash between an upcoming star and a grizzled veteran.
Mbilli is one of boxing’s most-hyped up-and-comers. The Cameroonian wants to put African boxing on the map. He believes a title is in his future, but his Ukrainian opponent is out to derail the hype train. Derevyanchenko has fought the best of the best and is a massive challenge.
This fight will tell fans where Mbilli is right now. It could show the world that he is on the brink of superstardom. But there’s a chance that this will be a tough night for him, which is why betting on boxing is so exciting.
Christian Mbilli vs Sergiy Derevyanchenko Key Stats and Head-to-Head
Mbilli is a boxer who receives incredible promotional support but hasn’t faced many talented boxers. That will change on Saturday night when he fights the experienced Derevyanchenko. There’s no denying that this is the biggest test of his career so far.
The undefeated Mbilli is currently riding a 28-0 winning streak. He has an 85% KO rate, but it’s crucial to note that he hasn’t fought high-calibre opposition. His most recent win saw him achieve a first-round finish against Mark Heffron with a liver punch.
It’s difficult to gain a lot of data from this match because he won so quickly. However, a clash with Rohan Murdock in January offered some warning signs. Murdock gave a brave account of himself and even hurt Mbilli.
Many analysts overlook this because Mbilli delivered an onslaught in that bout. Murdock’s corner threw in the towel because the Cameroonian boxer kept punishing him. But it’s concerning that a 27-fight veteran put himself in compromising positions.
You got to think twice about getting in the ring with @MbilliChristian 🤯@AutoZone | #MbilliDerevyanchenko pic.twitter.com/bfF4kosNDe
— Top Rank Boxing (@trboxing) August 13, 2024
Meanwhile, Derevyanchenko is one of the super-middleweight division’s underappreciated veterans. The Ukrainian’s recent record doesn’t tell the full story. He’s indeed lost six of his past eight fights, but look at who he has fought.
There’s no shame in defeat to Gennady Golovkin, Jermell Charlo, or Daniel Jacobs. The 15-5 fighter has never suffered a knockout loss in his professional career. That’s despite facing some of the sport’s hardest hitters. He also has over 140 amateur bouts.
Derevyanchenko is coming off a win over Vaughn Alexander. He fancies his chances against Mbilli in this match and believes his pampered opponent is overrated. The WBC Continental Americas Super-Middleweight title is on the line.
Christian Mbilli vs Sergiy Derevyanchenko Predictions
Prediction: Christian Mbilli to win by unanimous decision
Father Time isn’t kind to combat sports athletes. That’s why our boxing prediction is for Mbilli to win this match. The Cameroonian star has youth on his side and is entering his physical prime. Derevyanchenko is 37 and may be on the decline.
If this fight took place five years ago, we’d favour the Ukrainian to win. The former Olympian is an outstanding boxer and has fought for world titles three times. He fell short at the last hurdle but almost reached the top.
There’s no disputing Mbilli’s explosiveness or athleticism. However, fans have yet to see him face a fantastic technical boxer. His trainer, Marc Ramsay, believes his protégé will reach the top of the sport. Ramsay also trained title winner Jean Pascal and top Canadian boxer Antonin Decarie.
However, we don’t think that Mbilli has a coaching advantage. That’s because Derevyanchenko has the legendary Andre Rozier in his corner. Rozier is one of the most respected boxing masterminds on the planet. Neither corner has the greatest boxers of all time, but they have almost equal bags of experience.
Teddy Atlas believes that Derevyanchenko’s nous, grit, and workmanship will win him this fight. This is a reasonable viewpoint, but these men are at different stages of their careers. It’s Mbilli’s time now and despite his technical deficiencies, he should have enough to win.
Mbilli’s power is his main weapon as he enters this match. He has a superb knockout percentage and is great at working the body. There’s a good chance that he unloads on the veteran’s torso, forcing him to drop his hands to protect his battered ribs.
Iron sharpens Iron
Christian Mbilli and Artur Beterbiev working
Mbilli vs. Canelo is the slug fest we need in 2025 #boxing pic.twitter.com/MW13ArFJXx
— 112 Fighting Sports (@112FIGHTNSPORTS) August 12, 2024
This would open Derevyanchenko’s head and allow Mbilli to cause more damage. Mbilli will probably beat Derevyanchenko to a decision victory. We don’t expect him to secure a clean knockout because of the Ukrainian’s toughness. But there’s a serious chance that his corner will throw in the towel to protect him from himself.
If Derevyanchenko wins, it would be a major upset that would infuriate Top Rank and ESPN. But don’t rule ‘The Technician’ out. Rozier always has multiple game plans and will prepare his fighter. However, Derevyanchenko must maintain focus from the beginning. Sometimes he takes the first round off and this has proven costly.
The pattern of this fight will emerge after three rounds as we don’t expect this to be close. One of these boxers will probably secure a dominant decision. Derevyanchenko must respect Mbilli’s power, but he’ll believe in his ability to hurt the Cameroonian.
Don’t forget to check the in-play betting odds during this fight. One punch can change everything in a boxing match. Both men have dynamite in their hands and can finish their opponents. The bout is a potential thriller because neither fighter is the type to back away.
Christian Mbilli vs Sergiy Derevyanchenko Betting Tips
Fans are excited about this boxing event because the stakes are so high. Mbilli enters this fight as a significant favourite because of his momentum. His undefeated record and impressive knockouts will draw significant attention this weekend.
Betting on Mbilli at 1/6 is not worthwhile. A €10 stake would only make a paltry €1.60 profit. We don’t believe these odds reflect the danger that ‘The Technician’ presents in this match-up.
We agree the referee will probably raise Mbilli’s hand. However, it’s wiser to bet on the underdog to win outright. His 18/5 odds represent tremendous value for Derevyanchenko. The same stake could make €36.00.
Nobody has made him look bad, and his 2023 defeat to Jaime Mungula was extremely controversial. Many analysts believed he won that match, to the fury of anyone who placed a boxing bet. We could be talking about a three-fight win streak if it went the other way.
The fight outcome is another popular market. Our online bookmaker favours Mbilli to win by decision at 1/1. This time, a €10 wager would make €10 if successful. A Mbilli win by knockout could earn €13 at 13/10. Picking the outcome is much more lucrative for bettors backing Mbilli.
Sergey Derevyanchenko HURTS GGG to the body ‼️
GGG saved by the ref 😳 pic.twitter.com/xv1jeTkMBy
— Raine (@RainesTooXharpe) June 27, 2024
It’s smarter to bet on Derevyanchenko to win outright. Betting on ‘The Technician’ to win by decision could see a big profit at 13/2. We don’t expect him to win by knockout, as that market has huge odds worth +18/1. This may be a good time to apply for our welcome bonus.
Players can also wager on the number of rounds in this match. Check the over-under betting options because they will offer significant value. A decision is the most likely result, with over 8.5 rounds set at 9/20.
Mbilli’s power could be a big factor in this fight. He’s got phenomenal strength and dangerous fast-twitch reflexes. It could be a quick night for Derevyanchenko if Mbilli lands a clean shot. Maybe he’ll score another early finish. It’s +13/8 for this fight to finish before 8.5 rounds.
We’re predicting this fight will go to a decision. Wagering on the number of rounds may not seem the most sensible option, but it offers huge potential payouts. Betting on Mbilli to finish Derevyanchenko in one of rounds six to eight is the most sensible option. Round betting for ‘The Technician’ is worth a huge 100/1 in any round.
Christian Mbilli vs Sergiy Derevyanchenko Outcome
This fight has jeopardy all over it. Mbilli’s promoters believe he’s the next big thing. A win for either man would catapult them into title contention. It’s a case of a last-chance saloon for Derevyanchenko. He desperately wants a fourth title shot and is arguably the best super-middleweight in modern history not to win the title.
The reality is this is probably Mbilli’s moment. A golden opportunity to face William Scull for the vacant IBF title awaits. Meanwhile, David Benavidez is no longer in the division, so the WBC strap is available too. The WBA title is also under scrutiny. Mbilli can make an undisputed case for his shot on Saturday night. It’s very exciting, but boxing has a way of crushing hopes and dreams.
